Playoff clinching scenarios: Who can secure a postseason berth, division title?

There are two weeks left in the 2024 NFL regular seasonand the playoff picture is almost complete. Thirteen teams are already eliminated from the postseason, and nine have clinched berths.

So far, only three teams have won their divisions: the Buffalo Bills, Kansas City Chiefs and Houston Texans. But all four NFC races could all be over after this week.

Let’s look at the Week 17 clinching scenarios for eight teams, including how the No. 1 seed in both conferences could be locked up next Monday.

More NFL playoff race coverage:
Projecting the final seeding
FPI ratings for every team
Projected 2025 draft order

Week 17 clinching scenarios in the AFC

Already clinched: Kansas City Chiefs, Buffalo Bills, Pittsburgh Steelers, Baltimore Ravens, Houston Texans

Kansas City Chiefs (14-1)

The matchup: at Pittsburgh on Wednesday, 1 p.m. ET, Netflix

How the Chiefs can clinch the No. 1 seed and home-field advantage:

• Win OR

• Buffalo loss vs. Jets (1 pm ET, Sunday)

Los Angeles Chargers (9-6)

The matchup: at New England on Saturday, 1 p.m. ET, NFL Network

How the Chargers can clinch a playoff berth:

• Win OR

• Indianapolis loss at Giants (1 p.m. ET, Sunday) + Miami loss at Cleveland (4:05 pm ET, Sunday)

Denver Broncos (9-6)

The matchup: at Cincinnati on Saturday, 4:30 p.m. ET, NFL Network

How the Broncos can clinch a playoff berth:

• Win

Week 17 clinching scenarios in the NFC

Already clinched: Detroit Lions, Philadelphia Eagles, Minnesota Vikings, Green Bay Packers

Los Angeles Rams (9-6)

The matchup: vs. Arizona on Saturday, 8 p.m. ET, NFL Network

How the Rams can clinch the NFC West:

• Win + Seattle loss at Chicago (8:15 p.m. ET, Thursday) OR

• Win + clinch strength of victory tiebreaker over Seattle

Philadelphia Eagles (12-3)

The matchup: vs. Dallas on Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, Fox

How the Eagles can clinch the NFC East:

• Win OR

• Washington loss vs. Atlanta (8:20 p.m. ET, Sunday)

Atlanta Falcons (8-7)

The matchup: at Washington on Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC/Peacock

How the Falcons can clinch the NFC South:

• Win + Tampa Bay loss vs. Carolina (1 pm ET, Sunday)

Washington Commanders (10-5)

The matchup: vs. Atlanta on Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC/Peacock

How the Commanders can clinch a playoff berth:

• Win OR

• Tampa Bay loss vs. Carolina (1 pm ET, Sunday)

Detroit Lions (13-2)

The matchup: at San Francisco on Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET, ABC/ESPN/ESPN+

How the Lions can clinch the No. 1 seed and home-field advantage:

• Win + Minnesota loss vs. Green Bay (4:25 pm ET, Sunday)

NFL playoff matchups as things stand

AFC

• (7) Denver Broncos at (2) Buffalo Bills

• (6) Los Angeles Chargers at (3) Pittsburgh Steelers

• (5) Baltimore Ravens at (4) Houston Texans

• Wild-card round bye: (1) Kansas City Chiefs

NFC

• (7) Washington Commanders at (2) Philadelphia Eagles

• (6) Green Bay Packers at (3) Los Angeles Rams

• (5) Minnesota Vikings at (4) Atlanta Falcons

• Wild-card round bye: (1) Detroit Lions