Treasury yields climb after CPI report shows slowing inflation ahead of Fed decision

Treasury yields climb after CPI report shows slowing inflation ahead of Fed decision

U.S. Treasury yields climbed Tuesday after a key inflation report showed price increases slowing, potentially bolstering the case for the Federal Reserve to skip a rate hike this week.

The 10-year Treasury yield added 7 basis points to 3.835%. The 2-year Treasury yield was trading higher by 10 basis points at 4.698%.

Yields and prices have an inverted relationship and one basis point equals 0.01%.

The May consumer price index showed an annual increase of 4.0%, the lowest since 2021, and just 0.1% month over month. So-called core inflation, which strips out volatile food and energy prices, was hotter with 5.3% annual increase and 0.4% monthly change.

The CPI results were in line with the Dow Jones consensus estimates.

The data comes just as the Fed is starting a two-day policy meeting. Traders expect the central bank to hold rates steady on Wednesday after hiking rates for more than a year.

Traders were pricing in more than a 90% chance of no rate hike this week after the CPI report, according to CME Group’s FedWatch tool.

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